1、春运会出现第二波新冠疫情吗?我们如何应对?
自2022 年12 月7 日放开新冠疫情的清零政策,同时考虑把新冠作为乙型传染病乙型管理措施。中国人群经历COVID-19 病毒的极速传播。按照最近中国卫健委报告的第一波疫情的住院人数和卫健委报告的8%的住院率推算,疫情开放后36天内估计全国新冠感染数是6.5亿,占中国人口的46.4%。开放后的36天的感染人数,已经接近全世界三年的感染人数(6.68亿)这是在新发传染病历史上是前所未有的。
目前的高感染率地区,可能大多集中在大中城市及其外围地区。目前正值春运高峰,是否有可能导致第二波的大流行?
据估计,农历新年期间将有10 亿人(20亿人次)出行,会大大增强第二波新冠疫情在农村和偏远地区爆发的可能性。农历新年的大规模回乡探亲人群会把新冠病毒传播给大批的农村和边远地区的民众,尤其是农村老年人口。
![病毒学家张作风:第二波感染将发生在农村偏远地区?](data:image/jpeg;base64,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)
2、第二波浪潮为什么有可能主要发生在农村偏远地区呢?
首先是农村老年人比例较高(60岁以上人群占总人数的23.81),其次是农村和偏远地区民众对新冠病毒的传播,感染,控制,预防的认识比大中城市人群相对薄弱,更重要的是中国农村和边远地区的卫生和医疗体系基础设施条件差,农村地区训练有素的卫生和医疗专业人员、医院床位和重症监护病房也比大中城市少很多。
此外,农村人口可能没有足够的抗原检测试剂盒,足够的经济能力来担负住院和重症监护病房。目前重症监护病床小于3.5/10万的省份包括吉林省,黑龙江省,河北省,安徽省,福建省,江西省,广西省,海南,西藏和甘肃。在3.5-4.37/10万之间的省份包括辽宁,山西,内蒙古,云南,陕西,青海,宁夏,新疆。这些省份的农村地区,在救治住院和重症病人的压力会相当严峻。
虽然农村人口仅占全国人口的35.3%,但是第二波的新冠疫情对农村民众的影响将会是灾难性的。很多家庭的老人和有基础病的高危人群会受到新冠重创。预计在第二波疫情中,将有可能有更多重症患者并需要重症监护,新冠病死率将有可能比大中城市更加严重。
![病毒学家张作风:第二波感染将发生在农村偏远地区?](data:image/jpeg;base64,/9j/4AAQSkZJRgABAQAAAQABAAD/2wCEAAoGBxQUExQUFBQWGBYZGh8dGRoaGxwcHB0fHSEcHSEfIB8dICsiHSEoIhwfIzQjKC0uMTExHyE3PDcvOyswMS4BCwsLDw4PHRERHTAoISQwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMDAwMP/AABEIAKkBKgMBIgACEQEDEQH/xAAcAAACAwEBAQEAAAAAAAAAAAAFBgMEBwIBCAD/xABPEAACAQIEAgYHBAYHBQYHAQABAhEDIQAEEjEFQQYTIlFhcQcygZGhscFCUtHwFCNicsLhM4KSorLS8SQ0Q3OzFTVTY3SjFyVkg5PD4hb/xAAaAQADAQEBAQAAAAAAAAAAAAABAgMABAUG/8QAKxEAAgICAgECBAYDAAAAAAAAAAECEQMhEjFBBDIiUWGBBRNCobHwI5HR/9oADAMBAAIRAxEAPwB3zFuIUD+zU/w4YDscBa4/2ygY5VO77uDDH9knyj8cFGYM6Mj/AHj/AJ3/AOulixS/3lv+Wf8AEmIuBqQcwNLH9bvb7lPxn4YnVT+kE6T/AEZ5eK4BiJ8kj5gs6gmmFZJmx7YmOdjz88eVKOrLAAXLMP7zY6ztJjUJCk/0ewO3axTDkMV0k9p+R+9jUgN0AstTqfpAhRp1LJJjny8Ym3l4YlTXoXsiZb7Q7k9uDhptOx5cjiu9JoHZMw3I9y/hifAbmDIYj1fcy/jip0mrGnDFii9ZBYGLaX7r7gHFTpVxLM5cSlIP2NbTMiCgKxzJDSPla/vEuJM/XkwoTMGmhI3hAS1xe7x/V88bgGUtFfgucapXqBHeoopqQCdm1NJk+AGCOZDhSAovAMxMagGgjnE7YDZDiRDvsbIAFC8y07DaB+ZwwJWBEkDywOAimVOGh+tpk0b6rA6dD8oMXX5bWwbytd3dkbLmmACYLagSCLDu33wt1A+tmXUATyLD5bYsZfOV0dDqc6iAdRZhBIF5xuI/ILUclqenpdjpd5glGAKmLhoaCFEj27mYKkDL1DWpADrDKzqDXsxAaJJgxvtabYI02Gql2T/SVOZsdLSY3M93KfDAc1teSqGpf9awuOQcBbRyEY1Bcj90mracnRdEN9BgC4BUnaBEeQjuxN0O7WULEX1tBIg7LcHux1xylqylEDuSNj9nxtjrowhXLVF5Co0R3FUYWO1mFsMkLYkZrPgKLGk2x7Ig/wBq699pnuGHjoHX1ZQdpSQzTEfeYiQNrQcIHGKHYpMR1mtNQXa/agSNRNgDYfawy9G6+ZXKJSy9F0ftzq0qiyzEHtIzMCdwDs3M2xkjXsr8YeqWq6aFTStVu0Ec6pCnUAAeyIAk2PK4JxTyLorp+k08x1YPaIp1BO8DYRJgTfc7Ya8rw7MNTKZjNkhoBWivVGFJIXUO1Yk3BU/LBGjSCKFXUQNtbs3zJM+JODxDyIsm+WJFWlSrq87OAp3kwHML7I+WJnrO3NUBJ27Te8iPgcemT+At8sc6MFRFs8Sgg5Fj3t+GO61YIrOxCqoknYADHS4r5+ktQGnUpl0I7S2gza8sJETI5zscNQLM16Z9IKjhVlteYXUtMTKUD6i6QLvV9ZuYTSv2mJeuhnABlcuiEfrW7VU/tHlPco7I8ieeCdGkoJK0kXV6xHrGwF+z2rCLk7DFgKTsMZI1n7Tj1VxVzPEKNP8ApK1JPBnUH3TOIV6QZZrLVJm2pEYgeJJXTHtwTBTTjlmA3IGFfPdMspTqPSDZiu6GGFME785RNMf1vO8jES9Ia9Qastwwv41WpKfe9Ro92MYYqnEqYkA6yOSDUfcs47dmamTDKTYSCCNR0gwbi5wF4RneKHMUTWFGnQ1dumGDNBBAjRTC2JBueWGrNvdO7Vf2BnHxTACVVUahAiFt5EkR7Or+OOMwuqpTTvN/Zf6Y/ZRp+HwVQf7wOPKLTmPJGPyH1wjCi6tEQZvq5eB/ljg16C2hLW5csT92PnXpXx6p+m5uGMdfVi5++2HFDmQyuXOYC0CTTlb1NAI+9vC++AcX+JZFBmFUaSpKxBpGxgXKNomZ5i0TGNN4rkqfWUdNOnJDf8MEeqdwBOJqWRoFFY5emSQCf1MC8TukYElylYybSoy/imQRa1NVUQYmBS+8R/w3K7d5HjAjFjpPw1KWjSkSXkkUZ7Mf+E7d+xjlE3xotDhNDXWBo0fXt+rX7q/s45XhWXJTVQy4mm0/q0AkMB3YT8t62Nzlv6iJ0h4WtJEIQglomKI7zY0qjH3iPHA6og6unAUEgkkAA2JFyGJM73A9oxqS8HywcAUMsAVH/Dp3uduzfA6rwigHk0aUdabdWsR2bRGNGPFUZzb7Yv5jgWjLl5eyBpKU+d/WFYmL907WwPydBDkzU6x+s0VDq17EC0drVN2awjsHtCNLO+Z6P5ZtSihTQl7MlNAwjtATpiLQREEEjA/MdFsvRos6UjVZVXSjknVpCmISNTPN9QYE8jcF4fAnexJNyE+MsrM9POVasD7SEELCw2qoNNmlYI2blF5s7m+uZaZeq5aoCA9OkUlioYnSt+yPYR54uU6y/pFMpQp0wpqrpSRqAJgsTdjbc4OUq1dyFRA7As6ydOgHVTMaWWRDHck3JkkCGnJvaRJwb8gFsrSpX100DaY6vsEmHO45QCfYcXVoVP8A6j2K/O45e7HvFM3maGh6mXYqIp01o6SY0MthDsZDGx8PEFm4Nxc1cvTd8tUpNGnS69saTpBMgbxItscT42tlIutCvUWqvPND+o3h+x44gqtW1JrqZgAEEhkZQVBGqZUSMOSyTq7Qk7ExGBvGqIcqsEjS4IKkqZ02JiLgEYFD2S5GmQ1Ay13qSLx6p5chIEfO5kRXZ24fVg1GfrmA0oS9qgsFCmQBaYNrzzwbyuYcJTGlFIWCI22MAgju7hiQM5KwVVTOwCiT4DvuST9bHiCwNxylUbJ5anTLCpppzYBx2LyrRpM8okYm4KHSiKRIJ5nmAAqgQDEhVAmb4IJSVr7jl5d8bfDEqoJAg+ACnBUWC0DuF8HoUFVadJezOkt2iJuYJ2k3Mb4vM55n8PhbE0QY0MfCwxYy4XcpB8b/AFw1AsoK+JlUnkcEOvA2W+Ic5nCqgjc+APzwaMcLk3PKPPHSZAnmMCeJcaqJTd9ROkWB0rMkDfYb849mIejnH8xWasHVQqMAhEtqB1dra222M1RlsYGyKjdseDKA8oHjvim+fabgfHEqcUP3fcf5YxqLqUVGwHmcVOMIKidSZC1SFaLdndh7VUj248HEZ5Ee7HBqaqtHwcn/ANup9SMY1EOU6J5Sl6mXUHvlr+d4OIuluWpU8hnHWlTUihUghVBnQQLgd8Xwakd+APpMq6OFZxuZphR/XdE+uAY+dVDIgcN6x9X34J8N6X5ymq0qeYNNJ5Klp3M6Z+OLfAMihz1GgVDK1WCGEyNZSDBE2E3m8yDhy6c8JWjSFSmlAdpUAOXoEiT409t8aggT0b8Vr1eK5ZKmYrVVmoSHqs4tTqEbsRuAfdjas9sfBXPuEfxYzH0WCo2eXUKYVadRuxRo07wqb06an7WNNz3P91h7yg+mM+jeSKgPW8Cw9xI+mKvDzNer4Uv8R/8A5xapHsEmxJY+8k4q8EE1Mw3ii+7/AFxPyhl0wsu4x8scWq661V/vVGPvYnH1DnauinUf7qM3uUn6Y+ZKVOw8sUEPozjPEaWihUSoHDalp6GU9Y4V+wpPZLEqVgne1sUV6S5daVOvUqqtNiFkyO2PWWAJkEEECYjC5xypmKo/RstX6lKnWIaS0iwaTLQFpdmCG9U9578KfSLoPxZ2g0Q1OnIpim9MIBYEqmoEFtIYyJJ3vjdBNgrZqkWet1i9UQrhw0IVKjtTtG18UOmXG1ydCjVNKowOtdNM3UTqLSx27Pxwo9E+M1Mhw1qVZR1yuwFF5V1UkRIP2G7RDbEEgHC7xzpfXztSmteqKdMMFJSQtNSQGeJliBe55WjA2FDz046e/wDZ9TKr+jmqWp9YWZ2QRqYAAgGWtJmYBG8yGLi3FKFBBVzDCkpe6uZYEgHTCyWax9Wdjjha1AVDlioZ0RXDMVZnmUYkk6i4NMSe4pG2ED0r5pHenprA1qZOsGSFEQAWjTq1EiJntGcBvZqNK4dx/K1x1lGvTqLrM6TcGOantDfmO7ElXPUzTmWAOmJRxuKZ+0vs8wRuMYr6PuD0y1V6xAJAWmQ1puSG0mQDa5tY4cMtwWjXqdXSdYKSNDFns2k6jAEQJsVuw350jCwPR7lKOh6JfsHS5bWCmmRN9UR7cGaHSLLZfVUqMxAASUpu/rssQVEESeR8NyBj3OdEsv1fV1VaopEFASoJtclIbkDY3PeLYSeO8PWhUqhXKZajSQKF1N+sJYRpYkXhmmfuxzxq2BDlw/ptk6/UMz6DrZTTqIQ4Oi3ZGom5CyOcxtgqemGQKmM1QMC/aHZ88YbwPNIKy1XZuwdYglCNJ31LJDXBESLGx2w8cW4DlsoGDvL1KjdW7U3YipHqakfrOrIsR4kyNsK3uhlG1Y7Vul2VMRUpuWUspVuwQraD2lMLBHMiRtiXM5gg0QAs1HgwB6sqpPf9rGR162ZrUkKVEpAsXANRlZZBUwXLG4JJGq8i20S5mlSo08tVZ6wqErWRaYmxVFBZqjQO1TJGlTY7CBgyg49oGn0bJU0amVGBKwGAIJFpuOXtwD42KozXDRcKXrF4MXWi5UEcxIY9wjxGMtzfHBR6p6NNAzDXUcwxql2JOom6kXETYztcHWeFkPk6FW+qpTWqZjUA4kLIAsASPfhTUiToNPUEkk6qlVhJmxq1Yt3QVA8B4YNVXHMeVh9cZt0N4jVHC+uavVXTUkFTLaWZUCgG0S0x3g9+I+EdPq66hUqtUEgAutIaYDzJGmzWuTaOc4JqNJpLecdm5wm5PpdmdadZSUIxO4YEKdUENp0MAIJIPIwJMCTiPTGtRoq7UqWtnCqA3YO5MsSALDc+GCChsK3xFmFuMBeB9LzWVi1EppUsTqVqZ0gTDoWEiRYwYOKHFfSNSpVAjZepExqM07zyDoCfPBsDQycQy5dCoVWMqYf1TDAkGx5DuxBwrhgQNNKlTJItSkC3M2F74jz3S/LUWC1WhzEICGa5gGOQPji9l+L0m2Die8D6McY3g4bJgnnjpMkRsQfZiX/tClqIJIIEnst9BgL0o6eZbKFafaqVXUsqKIAFwCxaIBYRaTjBoMU8sRP0P44hegesUfssfcUH8WMjb0gcRo1tbVw4J1BSi9UynaAAGA8mDAi5nGr9GeNU85RpZhQACrB1JnS2oBhNpHYseYIPPADxaAPEOmVKlnUytvWVKhg2apGkd0AMJ357Ri36TXjh5VjZqtJY86in6Y4L5esZ7DR2mJWBJ5ywvuTPlj96V2H6LQXvzCN/YV3+mM6C4tdmb9B84r5nL0IJbr6lYtaI6klR3yCGPtGG/p4ZSgnfUn+yp/zYTfRbSB4hP3aRYeHY0fJ8OPTRh1lGZhEdiBv9kfTBQpf9HeVAru8bUSPe9M/w4ba47Uf8v4ufwwu9AmBq5xVMimUSd7kMWHsIIwwZ5o1Huj+6rv8AXCT6CiKmf1SnvVZ9wxD0a9Wse+r8lX64s5ldKQOVvdiLo0n6mfvVHPuYr9MTXuH/AEs46ZVdGQzjCxGXqx7UYD54+dOqxv3pNq6eGZvxQL/adV+uMLjwOLEzfOE8PFN2qsW6xgAVk6QOzcrsSY/JxdIB5H2GPrilw3PrUQtTYONUGDMHeD3G4sfDFDplxmtlsur0R2mqBdREgCCbgzvG+w92J/QZlL0l8PqVMqj06bsablmT1jpggnntAPxxlzVcjMijnDPfWpGJ52o3/ni9xnjObzLE1a7FTbQrMEj9xTp9+AtamVw6VGsO8N0rVOYpNUpaLh2aWbXrJZiLTpUg8tQFgLYDcTz5JdGHYiUA2UiwPuke3DH0Iy3XrVp69LQxQCASQjEjYnYHa9sLvGcrWytQionZO2oSpBA9ngRhW10GnVnvR16zVKNGj69RhTvsQxtO8AAkki4AONlPFqOUNKnUqn1QCzTJgAFgJMCwEct+8lE9H1LNDMUq68O004ZHKr1YZXA7QNRgJWB6pkgsOdgvTJqy5rMdcDJqMVBvKFjojlAWB4RG4jDKV6A0axR6RZass061Nid1LDWJ715YDcdo5Vus1S7VqdtLErBBWRFt1Ugz33E3x2qk7/j88G+jnEqig0gxZYLBSJAi5juG5I2+MrO60Nj48thPhPRunRzND9II6s1QqG4NRm1FJiYUFVQiwEm++HbpHw2pU6phVcMhY1RSdAes7J1IzrA0ssRCyOYxnfG1NTKliSWV5Pf2jf8AHDD0b6YVa2YClFJcB3YSZiFgKPteJJk8sJydWWSim4/MAcU4lKoT1haoC0kXgnQCb2kgH24sdIMjmSprVRU0IqqsghUQAIinkhMBgtvWmO1hr6VdHErsBTpKAtJUhAq2FamSBaOzTVyAL2Ai8Gj6Vcwp6mkIChBUIEAFmAEkDc6VjyJxV53lir8EeHCxNyHBWqB9DUjUVZRNSsznVTQKApsxLyJvCG2HzgHSkZHLtlM0az1VEUzpWFWHKp606VC+PrQLAYzRMyaNRKiboysPNSCMaD0woLnM65QkpSyj1CwBJPYmmbet2qo9gJ5GVFKHDM/UGTytFQQgBZyIuyszjyA7J5SQcUM9mHfSGdmg2kk7+eHPJdEQvUujJUogQdQJswv5GDswt34G5jg9Na2nqNC9YwCsSbTaGJ7QIAIvz2HJozXGguDsGUM2poV6K0m1MQykMxgCARo5zEz+GP3Asqy9k6lXuNM8yJ+ye8/HE3SiktOqwTlTW4kQGLjv39X3+GJujubKprdmYkQksTAO8TsLYD6GhH4gjxHNNQy5al2blSNK2hiSSIsSAo9+EzI5mqXI62rpYMXXrGCtIk6lmGm8zvOHHPZ9Hy1SqFK6pUkmdRVXItyHL2HCjwdlFUBl3Dc7bG/wONFgyKpDRnuM06bI/VjTTVZDIp1BVCm+6kBbEfHDVw3jWVzCjQTTe0qZ5xJBNjBtvsb8sZ/xOvli9RC5VZgEKxIET3XF48sFuj3DEXS6Vlqh0OkGm6EREesR34oyY4V8ytB9OoM1RtKz3XP0xnfSTo1mK+Zr5mJpuTpgsxBVbCFEwSmkDvYCMMnEKAQGo5AVTu57PPYQTPlfEHRrpUhqkV6cZZzoWqSOw5aFJUGQGKgTFpBPZM4R34KxSrYs0uhWY/Ry1VlUs8LSIdiTtqBUEqxP7JBAE8sNXA8iuWymlyoqEPUKCQFJX1QGMzCrPi2Glc4EYpU0hluCpDawFZjCrLCALggeGrGb8V48mbzFVaSBCjVEAmzSWAewG9pwibasZpKqOOJdMVpFEp0xo1QWAkQLMAZvY8ouBfFnpTxsV6KMtXrKYaqyHtCCKNWxDQQQSs+zEHG/RxXD0qfW0woUjWdQWSzNpFrG4EWmJEmQFBMrUoNWpuCCFZeekzCSORs0+RwItLSNPlLtDb6IqH+2Zhu6ifi6AfAfHDN0iy/WZoIduqAI23Zj9Bhf9Cl3zjeFMT5mof4RhqbtZ5vA0l+v8WKolRT4XxtsvXzWk01WrWd2apsNJZVG47sM3R7irZrLLXYKvWvVCgAiy6qS7k3MT7cZH0xzWoU1tcu57zqIj2WPvxq3QShp4dkhG9IN7XqK0/E4SfRkGuIergXX4qMtlqDaqa62b+kmO0WeJBEG/j5YKcRMLhL9JDaaGQp2HZY+1RSH8RwkfcF+059I3Huu4cwHVsr1KayjExDhoM8+ztjKuu027re7DDx8lUNK8dYpHdJDGY/qD3YSs23bf94/PFhT6I4RUFHJ0mqGAlMFiSxMnl+sOo3IUar2AxmnS7pXUrurPZAfUGyiZ7rmwk2nuEACTPdI64yy5fWWp6yTq7TGnqJVNRMwvZI52jwCrxB9TMPOPz+eWAlRmyzmXam56uLqTBUEWUm3uxX47mCrQYO0lRp5dxJ8cE+j/Dq2YVqyU9a0KTNUJMCysB5zDGBeAYnA/i1P9a5YatRET9qBpJtcXm+CAIej7gWczOYV8tNNUbt1mkog5j9piDGgbg8hfG5Lkaa6eyGqD7ZAmf2QZ0/OOfPAX0dKy8NyoUUwagJ7HqhSWO8mWgy37UraLGayFQTr87D2+UfTE5UMiSokyWJ8h+fz44H8c4Hl81S6qtTBX7DCzqfvI3I/A85FsV+L8ZGWptUqq5RbsUvA74JHfNpx7nc67DTSUzrRDNo1sqk7zYNqtuBAuZChMH4hR6upUp6g+h3QMPtBWK6vAGJw2+i7hi1RnKhAJFI01WYJ1AsSPHsJB88FuKdCMtUHWMyZXWzCmVdFphQ5RWZXMu7xqCoEF4JG5rdFKKZXM5jJrmBURgQ7qukhoCmIZhKhmBg7yO6aJOWkI5KKtgrgdHrnNCSOstI5TzE4PdEejz5eqyOslKkU6vVsZWQQNWwAMyDInugSr8OzL5WvVrMpqPl6wphdWhST1olhBJtTkAYNf/FGoI/2VLEn+kPOTHqePwxNwdNFuadM0c9Z+z7jhA6d9HczU1Zggv2mB0KxsvZmBMCF3m2NFyzdZoItqAPkCJwq+lviRSlTy6EqKupngxIWIB8CSSfEDEvTQe2NkmujMeCdHqmarU0opUqU9S9aygdhSbySYmAYveLY09+C9RmM1XDmojUatJlC3QTYCCS4GiIiQIsZwm+i/PmjnCoPr043gSsFTe0i55/HGh5qtEgfDvPPxPMnfHZGFkG6C/CFWpQo1VMM1JCGWLgopGrkwvz9kYhz2UVjFQaDaHF6ZI2kH1D7vM4H5XPNRJIus3Ww5AkjkDee43nvwey+YSqsi42II58wwOx7wcTnjHhOhO490WYksT6xHM6TERBm1wDFu+DOFPi3DqiaEvT0wNTNAjb1hA2veBbfGr1cqyA9VBXnTb1T5E+r5bYomhTqyq9h+dKp9PxHwxFuUX8yycZGVVA4RwVYHe4gwSq/GIBx1SyzI1HWhUGkWE2kFmBPxw85no8iM0U9BYEMuwYGJhhHMC4IwPz1KLMskKV7fbIWx3Y+HMHvkGZeGRPQk8b7FGtlDWzYor9qoqeQWFJ9iqSfI41Ojw6msKFKqBAHcLfhgb0S4Wi5vMVDTdXFMKhYypWQgZbcwq89rYa61AX7o8PH+eKkjLun1Tq2K6yQdJAkwtiJg8yZ93jhe6P8TSyVyBRvJCkk3nSdN9JJMkCb87ATdMuI9bU1r6rXQ96tt491sLlBoBHLl7eccsUkvA7GDOcYqJQORSoDTaqhSoTAVCskc4QyjSDYBrdogEOAZAUIdtDVFgDsgAAkt2iO0zdkbmF2Ecl3o1TNSsur1Ulj4RtPgWI874ZnqntRufx/mccmbI46R6n4d6WOS5z8dGhcO4pl8zRbXUKsB+sRiu20yRGgwb2jwxm/Hc1Tq5lnpWpABKfrEkKSdXgCSY8AMc1KY7PMxcxufZ7cQ51LLc+teOYINvLEfzL0di9FwlzT+wQ6P9Iv0Z2NNVZXjrBp0k6Zghu/tG5nfywx8K4klWs9ZDYsDHMaVBgjlthAd4IWPzbHtLMOjnQxDwZjkDvPsJw8JuJH1HpYS2tMj40JrQdgqD+4D9cbp0fodXl8pT+7RpD3JP8AD8MYLxIks7fagdwuFA5W3GPolaekqn3QP7qkfxYq3aPGnHiyrxpopt+6cJHpYzapmMmhQOq0y0SRuwAg8vU7sOvGLgjvge+2M69Lz6s+ii5Wike1qh+oxsfuYsukL3Gs2tV0ZRpU1QBNzCKBf/8AIcJ1WqZMqJkz2V392GTPAoiyIYda0HwFOPiuFtcs0C2KiDP0uqGnXq04ChHcBdgBqaPZEQNo+C9UqO0RNzAPfjcq3DaOYZ6zUaRID6WKqXCgEL2iCTeL/jjPulFGeIMFAinTp6V2A7CGB3CWYx44L7MUOjnGMxlaVZaT2ZoZWUMrCLyCP2jcQb4p5oaVUySQmnzH5viTOOyseyQDE+BEGQR5RHlgXns6WEArA8fdgsBqPoT45VqTltIFKhSqHVNy1WqjKI5R+s88PWeaCe7CR6AqAGWzVXm1VUnwRdX8Zw+Z5ZAxKQyAHSXJGtkMxSBAcIwE7QBI+gxZpV+sy9LMoLtTp1I77LUWfbY+BOOMlmQalZNwEg3ECIaPcx/MYRejPpDehlKdNqAqNTXSkMR2VlYcaTsABI37u8RCxq6YZHruG1hRUNUpMHpyJsWVgVPeab+XrKbTjNqFYKFdBBsQwAAg8reBO1+/cxqXQ3iCZnJuaaOlPQKKhmBbspEAhiTGqxaCTyGEPhvRKo1Ci9SvRpU6ikyz9p1JN0UgAi8+sO6L2dOtitXom4/WHUU8wik9cVarYlQ9JWpySLAsGEDmQxwpmGccpb6/hjXuK5brcq9HTTYvTHZqahTJgOJ0XgMOXdvhJpdGHRgwo5IEbaKmY1d1gSJ9+2A5ctmUeKSNI4PU05dCARNNIBGkqCoIBHIgWjwwn+l/h7Pl6NamrMyMabRJOhwGJgcgVAJ/aGHCjLdYpEWEbWA1Tt5jHFejqGn7I3J7ucd5OLY4LjQs5fEY90P4Fm3zFOstNgqEsSQdhCkRvcGLeeNLphrsxvyA5YJ5AKahCiF0kDa23aJ5Hx8oxSrntqBsb+zDxjWhW7IwJqMtrBP4vpjrLVmV4DaXUCCRZgLaXHMbQdx4iQRvEc/1VZtwDAJC6iJFjHsO9hzxLkm1VCQ0xYE3BJuRMfKwOFyNUNjTbGjIcTWpKkaXG6nx5jkynkR4jcEYm4hk0qAarxswswPgeXlihVyKmmhJIYXVl9ZSd4tcWEg2MDuEe5LiLKwp1YDH1WHqvHdOzd67jxEE8+pdlqcXaJFrPSVlrKatL7w9Zf3hN/P48sUq3DVqDXQYOv3SbjwB5HwMeZwfQ4F53hEN1lBuqqeHqt5j+UeBxKeP7/yUjk+38A7Ks1E6blRsjSrL+6eXwx30k4qEydd1YhiNMmARqgGLd0xgh/2gjFaeZQK/I3j2Ny9hI78JnpgzIo0qNFWnWTUO2ygKPfLe44bE5cqu1+4ZKPyp/sIfDT1tbU06EkWPMqYiQR9k8u7FbPimQSNYbaDBHvEfLDJxDgoy+RyjD+kqqz1Jm5bSQLmxCMBaNjhQzLyT4yfrjqtONk2MnR/JilQLknVUg25ATA8Tck+zuxao1gZHMX9n8jHvxZ6LURWoUUQamIKgAgQyliZ5QB2r8r4p5nKNRzJSopBIIi2xi4MwQQZkWx5003Jtn0XppwhjjGP9s6qg9xjvtf8A0xVcsdojz5+XPni5X0gqmkkKLy0TM9wtsccViNMooB1ARc9159sb8sIdUna7KvC8t1lUAztLRaByHnPyxao8JVSzKSLEmTNlBPnsDiHKVOrrxNqgt7Jke8YMZOvADCJE7iRsdxBkeEY6IRTieL6vJOGTT6FqiuvNIn3q6r76gX64+hH/AKRj5/JMYT0YpCpxDK79qujXv6ra9/6uN1RpZvb/AImH8OGl4POyNtlHiV2Qd9RP8QP0xlvpGzc8WrdydUvs6tG/ixqVUzXojvc/BWP0xjvTzMB+IZogbVSpPfohP4YwcXbEn0ih0vrDU0bFWbyFR6tvcBill6XZXyHyx50iq6rfsUx8Fcf9Q4sJlbDFiZrnRziaPSdDKOyvFM2YKBvB75+WM+6a5OtT4hVqqpNKqEp03BU3C01g3/VzB9aJvE4f+NV1p0CVEMWAtaxDSLezAKvndFIrqcdZKswMExIvAHIwPfguHEWM+QByvQqtVprUq1dCsJgAVCPapAPsnbyJD8Y6N0KUjrixHgB88adwWuP0VQDq0hhfc9pjy8xhK6Q0DWbq1ENUIVT4udI25yRh1BcbF5vlRoHoxyC0eG0VXd2qO3iS7KCf6qrghxrOaKWru9/hi9VopQQU6YCog0qFAAEW2+PtOA1VTWqAG6iLcr2/HHPJl4ryLvCkr0lpZ+kpqLVRHzNFblgyg9ZSE+uoMFZ7SgDcTjP84ifpFbq2DUjUZqbCYKMzMCPKY8CCOWNm6F8PqUMrRpVVIanKwSDKqSFNjzEGOWM99JHRKrl6gr5YVGpVCdaqCxRySTyJ0sST4G3MYMWBhr0LVv1GYXcpW1gd+pQo5/eQ4KdFKLLlaGtQrGjTBAERdng9x7ew9WPLGddGX4nR6xMrQqA1IDM1LTsTHbeALk8/dgzQzPEGzdPK5ggCmgqGnS0omlW0gkr6yiAdNhtbAl0GK2OZzRYFwDsYB35xO/1wObOGRIUCe78Ri1l7iPA/XHP6KT4+w/QYnB6KTQSp1Z06TvG0c+X0xxn6hFsdZJIZZ7/9OffGI+KHt6RcxJ8N/wAMdWHyznmccKqhakzsD9NriTz3GxviJiDWci6gwD4e2+PyrpUt7sSZWjAvucW82KCOKZhaVR6rmFCLJ7u0VJ9msHHegAhhB2PKDir0voCpSamZ7QCmO4sp/g+eJeEZBaNCnTD1GAFtZUlfAEKLecx8McmaSs6cSdBbL5gPELBHiL+dsSVCrgqVBHME+0GRBBG4YXHLAzrdJkAe7F6jmA94Abl3HErLOJYy3EjR0iqS1MkBahiQTYK8QATsGsCbWJAJsMGwALqVIKjuZTcQeRHMHEeUzjUDaWo8xctS8Rzan8V8RcUjKyMoUMOYoKwh1BHj8/Dzwr8R4dlsz+oFLrVWdRgarTYMBIieXjznB3PZlmoMaXaLL2dPjaRHgd/iN8e9HOGGjT7UazuLEKPuiLeJI3PfAwJRt6DGVR3/AKEj0o58O9EAQBS2/eZhHkNAxmWYSJ8MaL6YKoGapr/5CN76lUT59kYzzMPM4vHUEmBtPoK9EePplnU1Q2gVJ7MEw6NTqSJ+6wI8Rg5xqqtR6NQOGAUw0MAV3WNYDfaJiBvzwhVjMnkMaX0kywp1WWAAsCIjkOXxxyZ9I9L8N+OdPwgPmawlYNyt/D8zj85hRG+/4YhoZcNUYjmLnE9YyJ8beyPwxys92N1sH5toeiZ2I+YHywY4YNcgzAR3YjkERnJv5fTATiDBjI+yR85wU4ZmwtHNCe29Eot+9gWjvMLt3Tjqxe08H8QX+Syb0bUNXFMsPul291N/xxs+XG57/wCZ+RGMk9EqTxKfuUarfFF+TY1vLnsn2fBVB+IwZeDz5dlOgs5in4Bj8h9cY5xOkr5jMuDJerVa/wC27N9cbJkWH6QW+5TPzB/hxieSab8z9cNj6Fn2CuMD9dp7npp/YVEP+DBgUxgJxBddeoZt1lQ+N3eCPKRg5rxZEmaB0mP6gb+uu488As2hYCOTNz8cGOOVC2WViLl0n44GZGmX1AcieXecWyEcQQ6NE9XUU7K0+FwAd+6BfxOF3pMSWNSkSpHaQixV1hlYW3DCZHhhq4TQvAIuSPh3ef1wI4/w8KGN9jbxPzxobjQZakNmc4uijLLWYrVrBOwRLa2X1TAgdogE7D2YI5OkqoCCCTz3k/ywg8N4qudzmWrBXFSipZ6e4IUQGDcu045d3dJrdJa7/pLFXdOsu4R2UMSW30kTaN8SjjcispqPRptfMqvrsq/vMF7+8jC1x30gZKi2jrRVaPVpRU9haQg22nGZ8SytMMYA1zvzjx78CaSjrDA2t7v5zgvHXYFM1jhnSBsxReswFKlqZFUEmoYCkMGkDcxAG8CbXUNOYU0cx1ldq7J1dRwUZdOvUNI0bc7zywY6OVB1dFWVw66StOmJYio5CVWvKoO0TNitR7EaZLV6wdtNSmFaO0sq4VxErIN/hIvAxBqiidi5wriObIoaw/ZaahOkaxe0BQFANwb7D2NGXqublQJv6wxxl6IAsoHko/HF9VsAIjxA/HClDwV2QGo3qopYmZgKCSQOZAB9uKB6RZSpDpm6BBiQ7im3dBV4Igk+fkcd9LqvV5HMsedIpYDep+rH+PGJFNTYtjk0iU1s2PNdIsrHazVDldaitsZ2We7bFav08yCg/wC0Fj3LTqfCVA+OMsTI1GWo1NGYU11VCPsqSFk+0/M7AxTWnI8cM5sWjYeC5lM6FqorCmGMatyRaSBYfHBrM5bsx3YTvRXxBadIIxEMzXnYzt5wQfaMPhGoFgZHeLjHJJtz2dUdRQDNxB3xwjkR/PFrP0gCCPaNsVKqzfBKII0H17xq5EfXvxNTM3iCO44D0qsGJvghRrav3gLHvxkwOJNSWpSJeksoT26Ij2tT7j3psdxBsx/hufSqgdGBB/MHuPLC/Sq90g88cqpD9dRIDn11J7FXz+645Nz2bkVeMvDIzh5OenfQb9NqCulcU3Slo0smpSFLuDIYFfXI2PLGV8X6KV6C63NMiQLM0ybc1HzxufC+KpUUtdWWdaNZlIuQR5X8QQRbCJxuj1zpQEydVQkcurVnE9wJUL7Y54eU2qSNiimnfgTsh0Gr1K1KizKuvUZEtARS5MGO6N+Yw2dP3BzDsPtaT/cUfMHBfo9VDZ6kD/4NWPM6fpOBnpNpKtSkVsGpA/E7Yhl5SjZ6XoeMM7S+Qv5Ff1bMefyGP2ZECD3X88S0oCU174+J/nirnaljHdjno9tvTA6vKufPFvh9MvRr1JIFNU5WY1HCRq2BAMxzxTy/9GfI4aOglBKuRr0qgJV6qbGDKqWHuK46YNJN/I8H1e3H6hL0RUh+k5qp92hE/vkH+DGo/ZYdxYe4kYRvRvwX9HqZs69aslMLIhhBeQeR9YXG97DDstla877774XkpbRxTTUnYJzNfq6eeq8koE+5ap+gxj/DyAU7pUfEDGr9ICP0PiMmJp6Ce7UNP8eMgylW+20n3An6Ypj9qJT7B2XOqpzklSD+8yE+/GncJ6MJUo0qkevTVv7Sg/XGW5EfrZ+6APp9MfQ/AKQTLZdPu0kHuUDF0TFTpBR0ZYLJMMlyd/HA7oy0tV9nzOCvSkf7OdvXT54H9CqUmsf3e/mW8D3fDFcnRHEHMgsVF/l3Yp9KKXYJ9vfzwT6qCD3EHn/lxzxOjqBHnjYmHIt2LXo6yYpJmavPWKYJ/ZBJO3PUPdiLi6r11WswlaagAd50r7rn87gtw2mP0WAY0t2vMOCZMcx3nngR0wAAqU9tTTM8wf8AQd1sVxrtiTe0J71JLM3OT5Yq5aFBBERvPLz5+/Bro9lDUp5pQ60mQJDkgH/iHSrGwkL7YFxzE1ciVcrOoqe1EQD5wBOEeynQ28Ho0Toao9KnNKnRqpRK1KtVKjPQMsNgCaZJTVFxMhQDWQoFdGqiKWqnOliGqs1M9U7vAgyFpHUJnXMmZwm9HazpU6kVDTWqGp60CB5aNPbN1EqIAO58ZDxleDQWaFVmfrHYMXdmZUDAvUSdBZFbSALqDYdnHNkjWisWTKgB5/D/AC4t0xPL5f5ccLlf2vgv+THdOme/4L/kxKitgH0nPpyDgTJemP709w7sZPlTvjSfSzXC5ejT1Es9QvHZjSisCTCg71F+PdjPOj2R6/NUKMEipUVW076SRqPsWTikeib7NT6DdHEHDxrWWzAZ2uQdFRSirI3Ggk3mC58DjLePcLbL5irQM9hyAe9d1b2rB9uPoKtTAJVQABYAbACwA8AMZ16YuFWoZgC4mm585ZJ9use0YcrKPwgv0P5moK9amL02py/cCCAD7QSPH2Y1DL7Hz+eMP6I8UOXzdKoTCltFSTA0NZifL1vNRjb8iZDX5xyxDLLirHxbg0Vs/Rm0eV/5fmcBiNJIMYY61IkH+X4YEZuheb/AR8MKnasMXQPqJ/LE2VrbSYPsx0tLl+GOTRjAZUvTq7QNxv8AnniemZFsUaLcxi2D9oG/MWwUJJEtemD+sBhwsah9pRJKN3ju5g7bkEDk6n+21Tbs5Osfb+r/ABwwqgYc74X+CZMVczmCZBWmqqw3BctPgRCwQZF/aGWwdJos8CX/AOYZYDklWfLRHzIwO9KPrZb/AJI+ZwR6J1l/TlLMB+pIAPMs9P8AA4I9JuijZynlqiVFQrSUEEEzYGx5XkXxpRbjRbBkjD1ClJ0jPc++nSe50HsDCfZAOKfFTpWpPKR9MWuP0HEKylTruD4BvffFLpCZYqIkmQOZG+OdR6PVyZ0uW/CKFMRSO+2Hv0TZVXoKrCzVGB5bKIuPPCBmKp0aNBGH70Zhly9EiZNeTHd1iKw8tIM+E46ILTs8j1WSM3Hi+h4ynChlzWZWLK6SBHaGlh7D63hgpPZfzb4E4FUeKGo+YolQDSV4IO41CJHfb24J/ZcftN/iOI/CuuiEuV77A3Gcq1XKZ2msS7oBJgf8I/Q4yjinDHoK+tCraGsecgix2O+4tjYqNMsmYVbkshj+z/lwsekBIyGYBFwq7i47aD2WnCfmyjOKrT/6NxUot+TKeHUyTUMWsAfGCflf2Y+hoi3dj5+4VVHVx/5qz49h/pbG/wBU3PmcegjlM/430hSplxKlFarpnf1AhNiAf+Knx7owP6L5iMzWenTEFdJYdYQRqUrYsdNgfjOG2rwyg4BanTJBsSoJG3fttixlMoizpVRblb5YM22LGKXRQbMVZFh/ZqfjgR//AKTMvVpZfq0pDSBVdgXcwIZlUSFFie0DNpjDZoHh7zhX4zwjMB2ahVppq1SerJaW72LQY2FoubWGEi2uhmk+zzoNnDVoE1H1OajGqCoABG0aQFAKgd/PEPSlBqLczv4474Nwk5YMxKkuFVyGYmRN42Audu/EHSyrYDzk+EnHXh1Fs55+4m9GGZhs215PVCRJsOttbFnpZwwFhWQGWmRBAnnY9+9uc4pejWjIzJ7zT5kcqnd54bMxkQ40mL89RkeI8Rjm5uOS/BXjcTMc9QgEjz92HDopx85inDmaqQHs0t3Pbvi/iDa4wIzfR+q2Y6qAWO7AdkqPtk8h4d9ueGvg/QqlSHWU9WsKV1EntbEyAYAkDv2G5E4fNKLNjiy0rW/k+PVqEf6NiGrTKkqxII/bb8cScOy/WVFTXEz9o8gTYTfbvxzFzJPSLxU187VE9mn+qXcepOrfvct8MF/Q1kFatWrsJNNAq2MA1JBNuelSP6xw98d9FeVr1DVL1UqN6+grDeMMphtp7/MziHhXAKXD1aijPDtqJqNziLBQIthm6QIq2M2ZPabzOBfGuFpmaNSi9g4ieasLqw8mAPjcc8D63Hoq1lLMVCKykD7R1BkkqZIgNItDAcr/ALJcdZkUtAPZ1WMDUPPabYV5YrTOtY20YtxXJPRqvSqCHRireY5jvB3B5gg88av6KeKtWyhV5JptonvWAR7QDHkBg1wvorlszXfN1aCu8gdqShKjR6hlTAA/1BwRzPBly4dqVNVUsWYKAovAJgfnbCZnyhohBcZ1Z+Lwb+R/P554r8QogXjwP5+HuxyK/l3b+4/THoeRBA/Nvz5jEMU/0stOPkF1lPj8fxxyIO+/tOJ8zQF+8fH2fnnigWg2xcyZIDHfi3lq3n4jFFmBvA92OqNUeXsxhqsLipplhcRfGf8AQk9TmKqs8dXlnqMytIvoYMTAmzSD4nDuM32GIjYxbwtjO85lq4q5hlpOxq02Qlm1QGAsG2fYAGxEYpBo5siaYyejMDMVMzTzB6w9XSKnVcENU7SERBEi67ERhiQ5nI1QRNWhVeXVoA1O12Q7I8nUyHsvcrBOlc84Ln2ylVa9QMB1fV1Fj1gsQykwC0gSDBs33saLnOO06KB6zqivZdWxMSBOw75O3fgsRb7AHSMSuo90CfARPmd/bjP3yNWq7tSXV1bX06iyBmchmtAAPOea4cOMZ/rVYhgVEtYgj3jClxHo5maVYl6MgwwO6MGEgBhaYB9xwkFXZXNK6oJV6SPQ61TZNKuxiCxmCPBtLHTFtr4aegGbVaWVF+3VcJbwZyT3WU4Xsr0aGZp/7E6hxepQqwlRGFgVOm6kEgMCPfswdDs11FTLZKvSdKwcD7LJeT6wbmvdJ5eOKpEW7NAq5OmDUqqAGem4JGzDcGNptviam4KkgzLN/iOP2YWEgdzD+45+mPyer7fnOObIqZRO0QcOrBOuZjCgU5J5SWX8MUfSKitwzNmxhVIPhrp7HE60DUSuixLKkTtZmOBHStHp8HzCMIMwQY2LA/hcYMJdJrQZRTVp7MYydTssOS1EP92pb4nH0O5ucfOaGFrfvL8qmPok46UQArVDH2/7n449SsRtr/8AbxFW9X346yu7fnvw0hYllarAfbnl6n445ZiDsf7uOm3Hn9MfuX57sIhmD+OmctUN+zBns8iPxjCpx99SA7GJPhz/AD7MM/SX/dsz+6v+NcKWe/o6fl9KWOrF7WRye5Bb0W5iVzNj66GbRcPa/dHxGHF6/wC98MJfo09XMf8A2vlUw1VeXtxyz9zLR6IuI0TUVlD1KZYAM6aA+m9gx9WdW4uOXiU/THo5N3pqAKdIimLR2BAmLTqG0CTywLrb/nvOIOmX/dFX99P+oMIx0VOjgqGkXfWxqOWJ7N9hPaM8vlgl1hBHZc+fV/jiCn/R0/8Alr8sR92AFhinxJgJDVB4FqZ9wYxgVUpdY5Z6laof2mS3kAQo9gxR4hz8/piXg+7eWAwxOn4UssSGvG5HLyx6vDlB8JAvsR+Ri/8Ah/lxyd/djz8+pujvxyfEL8Q45WCAZelRnvdm0j+oqifLUMB6WdzFcfr9GpWkKohR5A7nxMnFuhsPPENL+kP55HAeabVWJHHHejxaB7v9P5Yl6sx4+78/6YkHLyx0PpgRk7CyGpltSyLnlv7v5d/dgTmKEGdwfz7cHKO39Zv8RwMz/Pzx3rohHso6I/P88d9Xzxy/0xJT3Hl+GMUP2oQfLxxxRogB5m6EX+HyH+m3j/QY7ynq+wf4VwUK0c8NyauW1TA5T32+n53K90w4DXzNRoK2a2owQBYCyzG5AvueZu08G2qea/JsecU3Hl/C2HTIzWxG4L0Nq0a1Gs1RexUR+yJ9VlN/d8V77MPDeJVct2aidblmJlLHRcHseEkEL5QZti9U+h+bYpZ31G8j8nwwqiqOuMdG6dQDNZSqVI7S1FJ1JYzMesveDyJ8mH8Ez6Vs/lWzB6rNpVp3EGnWkokgxKtpCjeDGD/QP+mzP/NP0wor/wB5ZP8A9Vl/nSwxNmx5k2HiW/6dTHOWaVM949xAI+Bx1V+x+8f+nUxHldvYn+BMRy9jx6OeF+tU8l+ZxT6eqG4bnZAMUiR4EAEHFzhnrP5L8zgd02/3TPf+mb54bH7QT7MGorKVvMfKp/PH0Jqx89UvVr/vD5VMfQSbDFUTZ//Z)
3、如何推迟春运疫情第二波的波峰,削平新冠重症的高峰?
建议采取最有力措施,努力推迟农村和边远地区的感染高峰和重症高峰。要重点保护医护人员,这样才能保证有足够医护人员在第一线救治病人。要有充足库存的退烧药,止咳药,和一线有效的预防重症的抗病毒药。要努力扩充医院病床和重症监护病房,抓紧培训重症监护病房的医护人员。感染者应该自我隔离5-7天,提倡戴口罩,避免大规模走亲访友,尽量减少群聚。年轻人要减少访问老人,以避免把病毒传播给老人。
大春运有极大可能会造成全国农村的第二波新冠爆发,新冠病毒将有可能重创很多农村家庭的老人和高危人群。预计在第二波疫情中,将有可能有更多重症患者并需要重症监护,新冠病死率将有可能比大中城市更加严重。只有认真对待,并采取有力措施,才能推迟农村和边远地区的感染高峰和重症高峰,使感染者可以得到及时的救治,才能降低新冠病死率。