1/20/2012 - Taiwan Election 2012：Outcomes and Implications for US-Taiwan-China Ties

Davidson Conference Center, Figueroa Room
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089
Cost：Free, please RSVP
Time：5:00PM - 7:00PM

The Taiwan presidential election is too close to call. Polls show both incumbent Ma Ying-jeou of the Kuomintang（Nationalist Party）and Democratic Progressive Party candidate Tsai Ing-wen getting the support of about 45% of those expressing an opinion, with Soong Ch’u-yü（James）of the People First Party drawing about 5-8% of those responding. For the first time, Taiwan voters will also choose their legislature in the same election.

Cross-strait trade now exceeds $100 billion dollars a year. Products such as Apple’s iPhone illustrate how connected the economies have become（designed in California, engineered in Taiwan, and manufactured in China, consumed worldwide）. Will the election affect cross-strait ties? The U.S. recently announced a major $6.5 billion arms sale to Taiwan. How might U.S.-Taiwan ties be affected by the election outcomes.

Upcoming

1/26/2012 - Premiere USC Screening of Assignment：China – The Week that Changed the World

Davidson Conference Center, Vineyard Room
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089
Cost：Free, please RSVP
Time：4:00PM - 6:00PM 

To mark the fortieth anniversary of the historic Richard Nixon - Mao Zedong summit in Beijing, we will screen our new documentary on media coverage of the trip. While the outlines of the Nixon trip are familiar, the behind-the-scenes story of how that momentous event was covered is much less well-known. The film contains remarkable and previously unreleased footage of the Nixon visit, interviews with Chinese officials, people who worked for Nixon, as well as many of the journalistic luminaries who accompanied the president. These include Dan Rather and Bernard Kalb of CBS, Ted Koppel and Tom Jarriel of ABC, Barbara Walters of NBC, Max Frankel of the New York Times, Stanley Karnow of the Washington Post, and many others.

Reported and narrated by U.S.-China Institute Senior Fellow Mike Chinoy, formerly CNN’s Senior Asia Correspondent and Beijing Bureau Chief, the film offers a fascinating and previously untold perspective on one of the most important historical moments of the 20th century.

Seating is limited. RSVP`s are required. Click here to RSVP.

The documentary will be screened in Washington, DC at the U.S. Institute for Peace on January 17 and at the New York headquarters of the Asia Society on January 31.  It will also be shown in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Hong Kong in February.

To see our Assignment：China "Opening Up" segment, on the first American reporters to be based in Beijing following the re-establishment of formal diplomatic relations in 1979, please go to http://china.usc.edu/assignmentchina. It and a Chinese subtitled version are also available at our YouTube channel. To see our conference on the logistics associated with the Nixon trip, please go to http://china.usc.edu/ShowArticle.aspx?articleID=2283.

Talking Points

calendar of events and exhibitions | read at the USCI website

Decorating for the holidays and to lure customers. Photos by C. Dube（2011）.

Dear Zhenying:

-- Tree display outside a popular Beijing eatery, Jindingxuan 金鼎轩。 -- The sax seems to be Santa`s favorite musical instrument. Lifesize Santas are part of this Qianmen display, but you see gyrating sax-playing Santas at housing sales offices and restaurants. -- Santa poses with kids at The Place, a Beijing mall. -- Workers at a small Beijing restaurant. Their winter uniform includes Minnesota Twins jackets.

Many Chinese churches are crowded this Christmas Sunday. But even non-Christian Chinese in many places are aware of the holiday, if not its religious meanings. Perhaps it’s not a big surprise to find giant Christmas trees in Beijing’s airport or to be greeted with a “Merry Christmas” animated greeting on an Air China domestic flight. After all, such services are heavily used by foreigners as well. But what is striking is the number of other places one finds Christmas decorations. 

Many shops have Santa Claus 圣诞老人 on their windows to welcome customers. Some restaurants have workers in Santa caps bringing customers steaming bowls of beef noodles. The Hunan Hotel is so close to the Beijing train station loudspeakers that you hear “The East is Red” every hour on the hour. The lobby is dominated by a painting of a giant stone bust of Mao Zedong and a marble wall featuring Mao’s 1949 remembrance in Beijing of Hunan. There’s a Christmas tree there as well, though, and Christmas melodies waft through the air.

On December 23, The Beijing Times 京华时报 home/life section featured articles on decorating for Christmas side by side with furniture ads featuring Christmas trees and price busting Santas. By Christmas Eve, though, stores were slashing prices on Christmas items.

Guests at a Chongqing hotel were greeted Christmas Eve by swaying elementary schoolchildren singing Christmas carols. A major Beijing mall has a palace with Santa on a sleigh and a faux-ice rink where Santa is one of the characters entertaining children. The Qianmen shopping district has saxophone playing Santas. But even a restaurant in Dazu, in the rural Southwest, has a pop-up Christmas scene, complete with reindeer, snow, and a white picket fence.

Even with all the decorations one finds around China, much more arrives by container at American ports. The U.S. Department of Commerce reported that in the first nine months of 2011, the U.S. imported $983 million worth of Christmas tree ornaments.

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Many of the gifts that Americans open today and throughout the year were produced in China. “Bringing back” American manufacturing is a priority identified by both President Barack Obama and his Republican challengers. It’s clear, however, that for many products, including high tech ones, relatively few good paying jobs would be generated by making the items in the United States. A study this year by scholars from UC Irvine, UC Berkeley, and Syracuse University found that Apple collects 30% of the sales price of iPads（more if they are sold directly by Apple）and 58% of the sales price of the iPhone 4. The next biggest beneficiary of the products’ popularity are Korean firms which supply the memory chips and screens. They get 5-7% of the products’ retail prices. Only about 2% of the price of iPads and iPhones goes to pay for their assembly by Chinese workers.

Of course, Chinese policy makers understand this well and are investing heavily in education and research so as to be able to have Chinese firms become innovators, able to capture more of the cost of popular products. Our conference on the State of the Chinese economy included presentations on the challenges China confronts in doing this.

The Apple example highlights an important point about U.S.-China trade. An important component of China’s trade surplus wears American labels. Each iPad or iPhone imported into the United States adds $229 to $275 to the American trade deficit, even though only a tiny portion of that amount remains in China.

Clockwise from upper left：The DYI page of Jinghua shibao, other pages offered directions for Santa cookies and more; Jimei furniture stores are having a holiday sale; A Dazu restaurant has a large "home for Christmas" display beside its front door; A supermarket slashes prices on Christmas stuff. Photos：C. Dube, 2011.

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We’re mindful that it’s also been a busy week for Chinese diplomats. Hu Jintao and other top leaders visited North Korea’s Beijing embassy to offer their condolences at the death of Kim Jong-il. State television offered extensive coverage of North Korean memorial services and featured footage of Kim’s meetings with Chinese leaders.（Click here to see a presentation by USCI senior fellow Mike Chinoy on North Korea.）Xi Jinping 习近平, expected to be named China’s top leader at next year’s Communist Party Congress, travelled to Vietnam and Thailand. In Vietnam, Xi and his counterparts elected to avoid public statements on ongoing disputes over the rights in the South China Sea. Instead, they focused on expanding common ground including a Chinese loan of US$200 million to Vietnam to support projects in telecommunications and energy.

Two prominent Chinese citizens were sent back to prison this week. Sichuan’s Chen Wei 陈卫 was sentenced to nine years for “inciting subversion of state power.” Chen was first jailed after the 1989 pro-democracy protests. Chen was detained this spring when the government moved to block any protests that might have been inspired by the North African “jasmine revolutions.” Chen’s sentence was imposed following a two and a half hour trial in which Chen asserted that he’d only exercised his free speech rights. Several of Chen’s essays were presented as evidence. They included passages arguing that China needs a civil opposition in order to achieve true democracy. Earlier, Shaanxi’s Gao Zhisheng 高智晟, a human rights lawyer who has been secretly detained by police throughout a twenty-month probation（his second）, was sent back to prison to serve out a three year sentence（first imposed in December 2006）for “inciting subversion of state power.” Among those Gao defended were Christian “house（unauthorized）church” members and members of Falungong, a banned religious group. Gao’s wife and children, claiming harassment by Chinese authorities, were smuggled out of China in 2009 and now live in the U.S. Gao’s brother was last able to see him in April 2010.

Most Chinese don`t know who Chen or Gao are or much about the causes they championed. Many engage, however, in frank talk about a wide range of issues in  classrooms, cafés, and all over the net. The embrace of Christmas can partly be explained by having plenty of stuff to decorate with and loving a reason to buy and sell. But it also speaks to an openness that is remarkable compared to decades past. At the same time, the sentences doled out to Chen and Gao starkly demonstrate the Chinese party-state`s  determination to squelch discussions of limiting its authority.

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It’s not too late to make a tax deductible contribution to USCI. You can use your credit card at USC`s secure server or you can mail a check to the address at the end of the newsletter. Read previous issues of Talking Points at http://china.usc.edu/resources60/aspx.

Thank you to all who have contributed to our efforts to inform public discussion of the importance and multifaceted nature of the U.S.-China relationship over the past year. We appreciate your participation in our events, your use of our web resources, your circulation of our newsletters and magazine articles, your feedback on these materials, and, of course, your financial help. It all makes a difference. We look forward to a busy 2012 and hope that you’ll continue to be a part of it. Best wishes to you and your loved ones.

Happy Holidays! 祝您新年快乐!

The USC U.S.-China Institute
http://china.usc.edu

Events
USC | California | North America | Exhibitions

USC - Upcoming

01/21/2012：U.S.–Taiwan–China Relations：Politics, Economics, Security
Davidson Conference Center, Embassy Room
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California 90089
Cost：Free
This day-long conference will assess the results of the January 14 Taiwan elections and their potential impact on the triangular relationship. Panels will also focus on cross-strait economic relations and security issues.

01/26/2012：Premiere Screening of Assignment：China – The Nixon Trip
University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA 90089
Cost：Free, please RSVP.
Time：4:00PM - 6:00PM
The USC U.S.-China Institute will screen the new segment of Assignment：China focusing on the historic visit to China by Richard Nixon.