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全球局势战略纵横  留言于2018-01-18 09:43:43 |
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评论：刘国深：《论习近平“新两岸观”》 |
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台湾问题的解决方案:
一、关于台湾问题的十个基本判断结论
结论一：台湾回归问题，越早解决越好。久拖不决，问题只会越来越大。
结论二：台湾问题和平解决的可能性渺茫。无论是“急独”还是“渐进式独立”，民进党谋求台湾独立的立场不会变；国民党谋求和平地存在与发展的方针也不会变。
结论三：国民党的“三不”政策（不统、不独、不武）祸害无穷，只会让台湾从中渔利。而台湾民众的“中国人意识”在“台湾事实独立”的状况下越来越淡化，成为两岸统一最大的民意障碍。
结论四：民进党绝不可能希望两岸统一，不断地谋求独立空间是民进党的努力方向。
结论五：国民党失去执政地位以后，凝聚力越来越弱，离心力越来越大；加之其支持群体主要是“老人”，国民党走向彻底衰落是必然的，基本没有可能再次依靠选举问鼎执政权。
结论六：台湾民众亲美亲日倾向非常强烈，根本原因就是寻求庇护，以李登辉为代表的卖国群体力量不小。台湾回归问题久拖不决，岛内反统力量、反华势力只会越来越强大。
结论七：美日等“事实敌对中国”的国家都不希望两岸统一，特别惧怕两岸统一，极力阻挠两岸统一。因为两岸一旦统一，中国就会实现跨越式的腾飞。
结论八：台湾问题一直是世界上每一个国家都可以制约中国的“外交牌”。几十年来我们对任何国家对台问题的立场都非常敏感，对于“坚持一个中国立场”的国家，中国几乎到了“感恩戴德”的地步，外交会见必然首先感谢。只要解决了台湾问题，美国手里也就再也没了整天晃晃悠悠戏耍和制约中国的王牌。
结论九：任何一届美国政府、任何一个美国总统，都不会放弃“台湾牌”。但是，面对今天强大的中国，即便中国采取武力手段解决台湾问题，美日等国也不可能直接进行军事干预，最多在外交上声援台湾，发动经济制裁，但是响应力有限。
结论十：台湾就是中国的大门，但却是一扇一直打不开的大门，一道把中国大陆紧紧闭锁起来的大门。只有打开这道大门，中国才能实现中华民族的伟大复兴，才能实现“中国梦”。
因此，必须在短时间内解决台湾问题。因为非解决不可了，因为我们有能力解决了！
二、解决台湾问题，需要的只是魄力和谋略
关于魄力问题，我们只需要想一想抗美援朝，想一想毛主席：贫穷弱小的新中国，面对美国为首的联合国军都敢打，都能打胜。面对今天的台湾，以中国今天的综合实力与国际地位，我们难道就不敢打？
关于谋略问题，解决台湾问题的方案很多，但是结合各方面情况来看，最好的方案就是“半武力方案”。
所谓“半武力”，就是以大打逼统，小打逼统、中打逼统。
“半武力方案”的三部曲：
（一）最后通牒：
适当的时候，正式宣布最后时限和最后通牒。任何拒绝统一和参与拒绝统一活动的人员，将受到军事和法律严惩。
此后，台湾岛内各类势力都在自作打算了，内应力量也会大有动作了，蔡英文也在做最坏打算了，台湾一片大乱，精英和有钱人外逃，资金也会大量逃离，整个台湾社会必将崩溃……
（二）彰显决心：
首先小打，一旦过了时限，台湾政府没有妥协的意愿，则“火力试射”，“小打”一番，当然这个“小打”并非军事演习那种小打，而是相对于大规模作战而言的“小打”：仅仅运用火箭军的力量，动用导弹大规模轰炸摧毁台湾所有军用机场和几个主要军用码头。
这一作战阶段的目的是让台湾全社会快速崩溃。逼迫台湾同意统一。
如果小打的“火力试射”还不足以摧毁台湾政府和军队的意志，则进一步扩大火箭军和空军的行动，直接攻击台湾“总统府”、指挥枢纽和军事目标。
可以预见，这一阶段完全可以让台湾彻底崩溃，各类力量肯定开始斡旋，我们则可以获得“筹码”与主动。
（三）全面争取：
一是公开争取。通过包括互联网在内的多种渠道宣布：凡是台湾带领部队不抵抗的将领和军官，将给予高于目前官职三级的政治和经济待遇；凡是离开台湾军警营地的官兵和政府公务人员，将获得高额经济奖励，并作为未来台湾各级政府工作人员的主要人选。以这种方式最大限度地瓦解台湾官心和民心，争取一切可以利用的力量。
二是秘密争取。通过各类中间渠道，设法策反和收买重要人员。就像当年美军采取收买伊拉克将领瓦解共和国卫队一样。在看到大势已去的情况下，这类瓦解策略非常奏效。比如解放战争时期国民党军队的起义和投诚，就是在国民党军队彻底失去信心的情况下出现的。
三、台湾初期管理的“五大原则”
一是全面“接管防务”。解放军全面接管台湾军队的所有军事设施、装备和防卫任务，除留用少量可靠的台军人员用于协助接管工作外，遣散其余的台军人员。只要台湾局势尚未达到“令人放心”的程度，驻台部队的军人一律从大陆征集和派遣。
二是不提“一国两制”。台湾情况远比香港澳门复杂，一国两制对治理台湾来说负面作用太大，将会导致事与愿违的结果。还有，台湾远比香港和澳门大得多，统一之后的台湾，必定乱相丛生，甚至不排除“台独游击队”和恐怖活动的出现，因此“一国两制”根本不可能适应台湾现状，香港目前的情况也证明了香港仅是暂时适合“一国两制”，尤其是我们在香港回归以后彻底没有进行“去殖民化”的措施，更没有“去殖民化”的立法，导致了今天的香港乱想，教训非常深刻。
三是严惩“台独分子”。对于一切顽固的台独分子，依照《反分裂国家法》和《中华人民共和国刑法》中的相关条款予以坚决的抓捕和判罚，彻底消除台独思想和影响。
四是团结“广泛多数”。凡是“一般化”的台独分子和中立民众，均采取宽容和团结的方法对待。对“蓝营人员”予以重用。
五是建立“过渡体制”。所谓过渡体制，就是在接管台湾后的一定时期内，建立中国共产党领导下的、台湾人以及西方国家都不会严重抵触的过渡阶段的政治体制。这种体制，应把“中国共产党领导下的民主制度”作为目标来设立，把中国共产党领导下的政治体制与适合传统中华文化和中国人思维与行为特征、适合台湾现实和历史的民主制度结合起来，建设一种在世界范围都具有导向性的政治体制。但必须长期坚持一条：行政长官必须直接由中央任命和派遣，并逐渐把台湾向“中国一个省”的方向来发展和建设。 |
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UCLA Center for Chinese Studies 留言于2018-01-18 01:47:19 |
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评论：UPDATE - From The Chinese American Professors and Professionals Network (2018 No.1) |
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The Good Child: Moral Development in a Chinese Preschool
Thursday, January 18, 2017
4:00 PM - 5:30 PM
Bunche Hall 10383
Talk by Jing Xu, University of Washington/Washington University in St. Louis
Based on 12-month fieldwork in Shanghai that integrates ethnography and experiment, this talk examines Chinese preschool-kindergarten children’s moral education and development. Chinese academic traditions take zuo ren—self-fulfillment in terms of moral cultivation—as the ultimate goal of education. To many in contemporary China, however, the nation seems gripped by anxiety of moral decay during China’s social transformations. Placing Chinese children, alternately seen as China''s greatest hope and derided as self-centered "little emperors," at the center of its analysis, this talk traces how Chinese socialization beliefs and methods influence young children’s construction of a moral world. In particular, it investigates young children’s sharing behavior as part of a larger educational project for cultivating “the good child,” a project that is both grounded in historical foundations of moral cultivation and shaped by new educational anxieties in China. The combination of anthropological and psychological theories and methods illuminates how cultural forces mediate the development of morality at its earliest stage.
Jing Xu is an anthropologist affiliated with the University of Washington (Seattle) and Washington University in St. Louis. She received her Ph.D. in Anthropology from Washington University in St. Louis in 2014. She received her M.A. in Sociology and B.A. in Journalism from Tsinghua University, China. Situated at the intersection between anthropology, psychology, and Chinese studies, she has broad interests in moral development, child-rearing and cultural transmission in contemporary China as well as cross-cultural comparative contexts.
Specifically, her dissertation research in anthropology combined ethnographic and experimental methods to examine Chinese children’s moral life under the one-child policy and China’s socio-moral transformations. Her postdoctoral research in developmental psychology at the University of Washington used lab-based experiments to investigate prosocial development in infancy and early childhood. She has published a monograph, The Good Child: Moral Development in a Chinese Preschool, and peer-reviewed articles in both anthropology and psychology journals. Currently she is working on a new project on child-rearing, parental anxiety and children’s psycho-social wellbeing in Chinese families.
UCLA Center for Chinese Studies
11381 Bunche Hall
Los Angeles, CA 90095
Campus Mail Code: 148703
Tel: (310) 825-8683
Fax: (310) 206-3555
china@international.ucla.edu |
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CCC Chancellor''''s Office 留言于2018-01-18 00:40:38 |
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评论：UPDATE - From The Chinese American Professors and Professionals Network (2018 No.1) |
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On Wednesday, Gov. Jerry Brown released his 2018-19 budget proposal, which continues to invest in the California Community Colleges in alignment with the system’s Vision for Success. Of particular note is the shared commitment by the governor and Board of Governors to better serve working adults. To that end, the governor is moving forward with a fully online community college that would operate under a new college district administered by the Chancellor’s Office.
Too many Californians find themselves economically and educationally stranded in today’s economy.
By 2020, 65 percent of jobs in the U.S. will require a college credential, according to estimates by the Georgetown Center on Education and the Workforce. Artificial intelligence, the rise of the gig economy and automation are changing the future of work and the skillsets needed to succeed. There are 2.5 million adults in the prime working ages of 25 to 34 who have only a high school diploma or some college but no degree. The vast majority are working and cannot access our traditional college programs.
The California Community Colleges will lead the way for these working learners with a fully online college to provide skills and credentials they need to improve their social and economic mobility and move our state forward. This new, competency-based online college will be unlike any other public online education platform and will focus predominately on sub-associate degree credentials of value tailored to the needs of this population.
The online college will not compete for students already being served by community colleges because these working learners cannot and do not access our traditional college programs.
Gov. Brown summed it up nicely: "This is targeted to several million people who could upgrade their skills by taking online courses and maintaining their employment, which they really need.”
The governor is showing true leadership and tremendous confidence in our system, and we will fully commit to seeing this approach help more working Californians succeed in this economy. A broad coalition made up of representatives of organized labor, employer groups, educators as well as public policy and social justice organizations has already come out in public support of this approach.
We are also heartened to see the governor propose $46 million to fund legislation from last year to support first-time, full-time students through the California College Promise. If approved, these funds would be distributed to community college districts that satisfy program requirements. The California College Promise, with its component state and local support structures, are strengthening the college-going culture across our state.
The governor also is proposing important changes to the way community colleges in California are funded overall, with a greater focus on student outcomes and more flexibility for colleges.
Finally, I would like to touch on a decision made earlier this week by a federal district court in California granting an injunction against the Trump administration’s rescission of the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program. DACA allows individuals who were brought into the United States without documentation as children to remain in the United States, to work, and to get an education and receive financial aid.
The California Community Colleges Chancellor's Office
1102 Q St., Sacramento, CA 95811
CCCCO@interactcom. |
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U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) 留言于2018-01-18 00:22:31 |
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评论：UPDATE - From The Chinese American Professors and Professionals Network (2018 No.1) |
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Today CDRH is releasing its 2018-2020 Strategic Priorities. Our measure of success is that by December 31, 2020, more than 50 percent of manufacturers of novel technologies for the U.S. market intend to bring their devices to the U.S. first or in parallel with other major markets. We seek to achieve this goal through the systematic application of the following three approaches:
• Employee Engagement, Opportunity, and Success
• Simplicity
• Collaborative Communities
In using these approaches we will continue to work and build on our 2016-2017 Strategic Priorities, such establishing the National Evaluation System for health Technology (NEST) and partnering with patients. Along with the release of our 2018-2020 Strategic Priorities, we are providing an update on our 2016-2017 Strategic Priorities, for which we have met or exceeded all of our goals. Already we are seeing the impact of our investments in accomplishing these priorities. For example, in calendar year 2017, CDRH approved the largest number of medical devices in the history of the program – 95 – continuing an almost annual increase in novel device approvals since 2009.
As always, we cannot reach these goals without collaboration and support from our customers. We look forward to working with you to achieve the objectives of these Strategic Priorities and, ultimately, our vision. |
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游客 留言于2018-01-14 17:43:31 |
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评论：量子迷雾：都是波函数惹的祸！ |
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https://www.bannedbook.org/bnews/zmlj/20180114/885583.html
希望你们转载我的这一篇文章。 |
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LJ 留言于2018-01-13 08:51:35 |
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评论：拥抱阳光，远离负能量的人！ |
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人生七笑，有钱买不到：
吃亏的时候，坦然一笑，是一种豁达！
被人误解的时候，微微一笑，是一种素养！
受委屈的时候，淡然一笑，是一种大度！
无奈的时候，达观一笑，是一种境界！
危难的时候，泰然一笑，是一种大气！
被轻蔑的时候，平静一笑，是一种自信！
受挫折的时候，欣然一笑，是一种乐观！ |
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蔣經國先生逝世30週年紀念活動 留言于2018-01-13 01:39:05 |
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评论：UPDATE - From The Chinese American Professors and Professionals Network (2018 No.1) |
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邀請函：蔣經國先生逝世30週年紀念活動
敬邀南加州僑界各大社團參加共同主辦，紀念這位曾經為台灣立下汗馬功勞的平民總統。2018年元月十三日為蔣經國先生逝世30週年,他生前為台灣創下了亞洲四小龍的經濟奇蹟而揚名國際，為兩岸關係打開交流之門，直到油盡燈枯，任上逝世，為國為民，鞠躬盡瘁之精神令人敬佩。為紀念他生前對台灣的貢獻，決定在30週年的當天為他舉行紀念展覧暨座談會，表達對他的尊崇與懷念。籌備工作由洛杉磯僑界社團及熱心人士共同籌劃，並邀請南加州各大社團共同參與主辦。
時間：中華民國107年1月13日 (1/13/2018) (星期六)
上午 11:00 時，蔣經國先生圖片展覽開始
下午 1:00時， 蔣經國先生紀念會開始
1:30時，蔣經國先生紀錄片放映
2:30時，廖介民先生專題演講:「台灣的危機：法治崩潰，民粹意識形態治國，將是死路一條 」
地點： San Marino Center, 1800 Huntington Drive, San Marino CA 91108
展覧暨座談方式：
展覧: 主要是以蔣經國先生生前之照片為主，並放映有關他在生活工作中的紀錄片及生前週邊友人對他的思念與談話。
座談方式: 將邀請專家學者發表演講，並參與座談，共同懷念蔣經國先生生前對台灣的貢獻, 並討論有關台灣的過去、現狀與未來。
主辦單位：由南加州僑界各大社團共同主辦
聯絡:
626-261-9223
562-682-0351
626-416-8588
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HR 留言于2018-01-11 02:17:08 |
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评论：UPDATE - From The Chinese American Professors and Professionals Network (2017 No.33) |
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Current Job Opportunity:
Please review the job announcement link below and forward to anyone interested in applying. The current job vacancy with Barstow College is:
MANAGEMENT - DIRECTOR, STUDENT SUCCESS, EQUITY AND THE BARSTOW PROMISE
Visit https://www.governmentjobs.com/careers/barstowcc to apply.
Sincerely,
Division of Human Resources
Barstow College
760-252-2411 EXT. 7231
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U.S. Food and Drug Administration 留言于2018-01-11 02:07:46 |
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评论：UPDATE - From The Chinese American Professors and Professionals Network (2017 No.33) |
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The FDA has recently approved the following devices to be marketed:
ZOLL® X Series®, R Series®, AED Pro®, and AED 3 BLS® Professional Defibrillators
The ZOLL® X Series®, R Series®, AED Pro®, and AED 3 BLS® are defibrillators intended to deliver lifesaving electrical shocks to people experiencing sudden cardiac arrest, a medical condition in which the heart suddenly and unexpectedly stops beating.
PREVELEAK Surgical Sealant
PreveLeak Surgical Sealant (PreveLeak) is a medical sealant used to help stop leaks that are formed in tissue, blood vessels or grafts (artificial blood vessels) during the surgical repair of the circulatory system. PreveLeak is a liquid made of two components, purified bovine serum albumim (BSA) and polyaldehyde. The two components are contained in separate barrels of a syringe. Upon mixing these two components, a flexible material is formed.
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Huanqiaoshibao 留言于2018-01-10 16:41:21 |
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评论：2018年蔡英文不会停止渐进性“台独”的步伐 |
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按照台湾的现有法统,宣扬两岸统一是合法行为,搞“台独”才是违法的。民进党当局以杀一儆百迫害、恐吓支持统一的力量是倒行逆施,大陆不仅要就此口头警告台当局,还应有所行动,促使台湾全社会客观认识岛内以及整个国家真实的政治现状。民进党当局如今肆无忌惮,做事越来越失去底线。“台独”分子蔑视法统,毫无自己可能因分裂国家在未来付出代价的意识。大陆方面应采取必要行动,重建“台独”势力的敬畏之心,使他们今后兴风作浪时有所收敛。
比如大陆应该制裁一批“台独”分子,对其中的罪大恶极者还要治罪,通缉他们,并最终将他们绳之以法。这样做必将对岛内“台独”势力产生强烈震慑。虽然短时间内台当局和激进“台独”分子会有反弹,但是长期看,正面效果将逐渐显现。大陆惩治激进“台独”分子有充分法理依据,由于国际社会普遍支持一中原则,那些反对大陆这样做的舆论掀不起太大的浪。大陆不是要干预台湾正常的司法,而是在维护国家统一的层面上对严重违宪行为采取法律行动。
大陆将赢得这场斗争。这样做将能形成最有效的对台主权宣示,差不多能将民进党当局这些年搞各种“台独”动作所造成的恶劣影响归零。这是值得花费一些资源和精力去开展的斗争,它将是一记强有力的警告:在“台独”这条路的前方,有的只是断崖和代价。民进党上台导致了一段时间以来“台独”势力的猖狂,该是收拾他们,给他们一个沉痛教训的时候了。大陆军机绕台飞行如今渐成例行飞行。今后大陆军机飞越台湾岛,大陆军舰驶入台湾港口,在“台独”行动不断升级的情况下,都应成为解放军的选项。
我们希望先看到大陆制裁、通缉一批死硬“台独”分子,大陆牢牢掌握台海博弈政治和法律上的主动权,让台海博弈进入一个新阶段。
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